So far, the projected path gives it a lot of time over Cuba. *crossing fingers* that weakens it significantly by Wednesday AM when they project it to reach southern FL.
It's also supposed to spend time in the Gulf, where water temps are around 86 F (30 C) which is worrisome. This morning I heard it would hit around Saint Petersburg which is probably 90 or 100 miles southwest of us, and it's predicted to move vaguely northeast-basically, you could follow I-4 directly from there to here.
They've already declared a state of emergency, and started some evacuations in the Keys (tourists and trailers/trucks.) It's predicted to affect this part of Florida on Thursday, and locally they're telling us to expect some wind and rain. If the current track is accurate, we're not likely to get direct impact in Orlando, but still enough that we're being told to go through hurricane preparedness.
And there's lots of talk about what to do about the Space Shuttle.
What concerns me more is that they already declared the state of emergency, when it likely won't be in Florida for at least 3 days. More often than not, I've seen situations like that where they're too early declaring the warnings and it creates a "cry wolf" syndrome for later storms and a majority of people stop paying attention. I'm not trying to downplay this one, but I think Jeb may have jumped the gun by a day or so.
Possibly. But at the same time, people may have more time to prep if he declares the state of emergency on a weekend rather than weekday, and experience may indicate that they're better off with the extra day when it's a weekend. They've also apparently issued the hurricane watch for the Keys.
I'm glad we're not expecting a direct hit right now, but the timing could be a lot better. I was hoping to have a little more time to prep for a storm. We're in generally okay shape for what's being predicted here-we probably need more batteries and water, but we're not boarding up windows or anything. It really could be better timed though.
Your weekend point is well-taken. Can you tell I've been in school too long already that I forgot about the whole weekend issue? ;-)
As for the timing, if I find out from anyone on Purdue's faculty who has access to those weather control satellites, I'll mention it to them for the next one. ;-)
We're so far inland that we're unlikely to end up with a mandatory evacuation, which is nice. I'm more concerned, this time, about my aunt and uncle in Miami. My uncle has MS, and can't do the hurricane prep they need, and my aunt, who usually does just fine with it on her own just had hip replacement surgery, and so I don't know who is going to take care of them this time.
I don't actually know what we're going to need to do at the house to prep. Because we're inland, I don't think this time, there's any need to board up windows, or anything, and with the track I just saw, which is much further east than yesterday, we may not even get any significant effect from it. It's not, according to the new track, going to go from Tampa across the state. I think we'll need to do a walk through though, and make some plans for the future.
We are so prepared because we are about 45 miles from the coast and got significant damage in this area from Ivan. Not water of course, but wind and rain.
Tornados do the worst damage. A gal I work with lost her house during Hurricane Opal in 1995 and she is 50-60 miles inland.
I hope neither you or I has to worry about Ernesto.
It looks like if either one of us will get it, it'll be me this time, but as I'm writing this, the meterologist on my TV is saying it may not restrengthen much.
And you're right about tornados...there's not much that you can do about that though; at least with a hurricane, you can prepare.
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timeasmymeasure
The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-27 08:49 pm (UTC)Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-27 09:11 pm (UTC)They've already declared a state of emergency, and started some evacuations in the Keys (tourists and trailers/trucks.) It's predicted to affect this part of Florida on Thursday, and locally they're telling us to expect some wind and rain. If the current track is accurate, we're not likely to get direct impact in Orlando, but still enough that we're being told to go through hurricane preparedness.
And there's lots of talk about what to do about the Space Shuttle.
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-27 09:19 pm (UTC)Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-27 09:39 pm (UTC)I'm glad we're not expecting a direct hit right now, but the timing could be a lot better. I was hoping to have a little more time to prep for a storm. We're in generally okay shape for what's being predicted here-we probably need more batteries and water, but we're not boarding up windows or anything. It really could be better timed though.
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-27 09:50 pm (UTC)As for the timing, if I find out from anyone on Purdue's faculty who has access to those weather control satellites, I'll mention it to them for the next one. ;-)
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-28 10:55 am (UTC)After the last two years, people are taking things much more seriously.
When Ivan hit, we evacuated and did not have nearly the traffic as the next year when Dennis hit. (Same year as Katrina)
It takes a long time to prepare for evacuations.
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-28 04:31 pm (UTC)I don't actually know what we're going to need to do at the house to prep. Because we're inland, I don't think this time, there's any need to board up windows, or anything, and with the track I just saw, which is much further east than yesterday, we may not even get any significant effect from it. It's not, according to the new track, going to go from Tampa across the state. I think we'll need to do a walk through though, and make some plans for the future.
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-28 09:09 pm (UTC)Tornados do the worst damage. A gal I work with lost her house during Hurricane Opal in 1995 and she is 50-60 miles inland.
I hope neither you or I has to worry about Ernesto.
Re: The Importance of Being Ernesto
Date: 2006-08-28 10:18 pm (UTC)And you're right about tornados...there's not much that you can do about that though; at least with a hurricane, you can prepare.
no subject
Date: 2006-08-28 01:48 am (UTC)